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Off in the distance
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May 2016

The Bellinghman
Date: 2011-02-09 12:42
Subject: Smart phones
Security: Public
I see from the Reg that Android has overtaken Symbian as the most popular smartphone OS, with 33% of the market.

Apple has fallen back a bit (numbers doubled, but share down to 16%).

Windows Phone 7 is sitting on 2%.

This is interesting, for a number of reasons.

Firstly, Nokia have lost their dominance of the market. This is probably down to Apple and RIM having shown that there's no need to go for Symbian in a phone. Nokia could be in big trouble as a result.

Secondly, Apple have done only reasonably well - in theory, they could have been sitting there in first place, not well back in third, having effectively reinvented the smart phone model that Android is exploiting so well.

Thirdly, Android sales are up sevenfold year-on-year, so some further growth is to be expected. I wouldn't be surprised to see them top 50% of the market, at which point app makers will be really considering the platform.

Fourthly, though Microsoft have lost overall percentage, with WP7's introduction failing as yet to take over their earlier OSes, WP7 is very new to the market, and it's going to be another period or two before we can tell what its market trajectory will really be - they could yet follow Android.

I think the next year could be rather interesting.
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User: martyn44
Date: 2011-02-09 13:30 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
Have you seen the Nokia boss's 'Its all your fault and you've got to try harder' message to his minions?
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The Bellinghman
User: bellinghman
Date: 2011-02-09 13:38 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)

I've seen the Burning Platform memo, which is pretty strong, though: words to the effect of "we're in an awful place, and we've got to do something different or we're toast".
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User: martyn44
Date: 2011-02-09 13:43 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
That was the one I meant. I just interpreted it slightly differently. I do, however, have a (somewhat elderly) Nokia phone in my pocket.
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The Uitlander
User: uitlander
Date: 2011-02-09 16:22 (UTC)
Subject: (no subject)
This doesn't surprise me. Symbian had market dominance, which it squandered on the altar of refusing to listen to its own staff about usability and end user experience some years before Nokia gobbled it up. Many of their good developers were headhunted by Google towards the star of the Android project, and those that were left behind have been suffering the death of a thousand cuts. Its very sad to watch from the outside, but I'm very pleased I moved on from there some years ago.
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